**** 2016: Régimen venezolano aumentará su actividad en el narcotráfico
Debido a la baja en los precios del petróleo en 2016 el régimen venezolano estrechará sus vínculos con el narcotráfico. Ya los venezolanos controlan mucha de la actividad de distribución de drogas en la región latinoamericana a través del Cartel de los Soles, el cual no es tanto un cartel como una mafia de burócratas chavistas. Así lo afirma la publicación del INSIGHT CRIME IN AMERICA, VER: http://www.insightcrime.org/ , una fundación basada en
USA, dirigida por Steven Dudley, de American University en Washington DC, VER: http://www.insightcrime.org/the-team .
Según esta Fundación el régimen de Maduro, desesperado por la falta de dinero, aumentará su involucramiento con el narcotráfico. El análisis, ver abajo, en Inglés, menciona a los sobrinos de la pareja presidencial venezolana y al general Néstor Reverol, jefe de la desacreditada Guardia Nacional de Venezuela. Este es el análisis:
While Colombia is seeing a de-escalation of conflict, the trend in Venezuela is in the other direction. Homicide rates in Venezuela long ago overtook those of Colombia, and transnational organized crime (TOC) now has deep roots in this Andean nation.
Traditionally, the drug trade was dominated by the Colombians operating in Venezuela, but the Venezuelans have come into their own, led by corrupt elements of the governing Chavista regime called the Cartel of the Suns. It is not a cartel, nor even a hierarchical organization, but rather a network of corrupt Chavista officials.
A series of arrests and US indictments illustrate that drug trafficking may reach to the very highest echelons of the Venezuelan government of President Nicolás Maduro. The regime’s former drug czar, General Néstor Reverol, has been charged with cocaine trafficking, and two nephews of the First Lady now face drug trafficking charges in the US after their capture in Haiti. Investigations are also circling ever closer to the Chavista strongman, Diosdado Cabello.
The regime is also facing political challenges at home, which could hasten its drift towards a criminal state. The government is nearly bankrupt and with the opposition’s crushing victory in December’s elections -- which gave it control of the National Assembly -- the Maduro administration is stumbling.
The likelihood is that the Chavista regime will dedicate all of its energy to a political war against the opposition via the other parts of government that it still controls (most of the judicial system, the military, and others), while protecting its senior figures already indicted or under investigation for corruption and drug trafficking. Specifically, the government will sidestep the National Assembly, while the opposition will use the Assembly to try to hamstring Maduro.
Desperate for cash and allies, the Maduro administration will face a Faustian bargain. The corrupt machinery of the Cartel of the Suns needs oiling and with no more money to rob from an almost bankrupt state, we believe that a deepening involvement of elements of the state in drug trafficking is inevitable to find funds to prop up the faltering regime.