Regresé a Tulsa, donde estudié
Geología y pasé cuatro años felices. Llegué allí en 1951, como tímido adolescente
y regresé a Venezuela en 1955, como un adulto extrovertido. Amo a Tulsa casi
tanto como a Maracaibo. Fuí a dar una charla al capítulo de la AFRC, el Comité
Americano de Relaciones Exteriores, liderado por el ex-presidente de la
Universidad, Robert Donaldson, un especialista en Rusia. Viajé por tierra con
mi esposa, a fin de visitar diferentes sitios de Virginia, Tenessee y Arkansas
antes de llegar a Oklahoma. En especial, queríamos parar en Nashville, la Meca
de la música “Country”. Allí logramos ir a varios sitios del centro de la
ciudad donde escuchamos y hasta bailamos alguna de esa música, con la ayuda de
un buen whisky local. Luego regresamos por el Norte, via San Luis, Missouri y
Columbus, Ohio.
En Tulsa visitamos la Universidad,
fuí entrevistado en la radio KWGS, see: http://publicradiotulsa.org/post/energy-consultant-gustavo-coronel-venezuela-oil-and-politics-21st-century
(perdonen el tartamudeo) , fuímos al Museo Gilcrease, lleno de obras maestras
del Oeste estadounidense, en cuyo jardín hay un bello busto de Bolívar donado
por el Congreso venezolano en la década de 1990.
En mi charla, ante un grupo de
unas 150 personas, una audiencia muy distinguida, dije lo siguiente:
VENEZUELA: OIL, POLITICS AND OUTLOOK
1. Venezuela
has been traditionally identified with oil, politics, beautiful women and
baseball. Now, unfortunately, we have to add drug trafficking. Oil and Cocaine
exports are the two main industries in the country and, sadly, both are run by
the government.
2. Women
are still beautiful and they keep winning international beauty contests,
significantly helped by our superb plastic surgeons. Miguel Cabrera keeps
winning batting titles in the major leagues where there are about 110 active Venezuelan
players.
LET ME GIVE YOU SOME BAD NEWS AND SOME GOOD
NEWS ABOUT VENEZUELA
THE
BAD NEWS
3. Venezuela has been living a great tragedy.
During the last 16 years the government has run the country into the ground. Let me give you some statistics:
· National
income during these 16 years has ben $2.3 trillion, the highest ever, thanks to the
increases in oil prices during 2003-2008
· In
spite of this huge income National debt has increased from $23 billion in 1998
to about $200 billion in 2015
· Oil
production has declined from 3.2 mmbd in 1998 to 2.6 mmbd in 2015, while oil
industry employees have quintupled during this period
· About
400,000 barrels of oil per day are being sent to ideologically friendly
countries such as Cuba, Nicaragua, Bolivia, Argentina, Jamaica, at
non-commercial prices. The regime has
transferred about $50 billion to these countries in the last 16 years.
· Another
400,000 barrels per day are sent to China to pay for a $50 billion loan that
has already been mostly spent on political programs
· Today,
oil exports to the U.S. are less than
half the volumes of 16 years ago
· In
spite of the significant oil income poverty is greater now than when Chavez
came into power. Today food, medicines and essential domestic goods are
difficult to find and Venezuelans have to make hours-long lines to buy what
they can find. Even Toilet paper is
scarce
· Venezuela
has the highest inflation rate and the second highest murder rate in the world.
It is also one of the 10 most corrupt countries in the world according to
Transparency International
4. As if
this was not bad enough the Chavez-Maduro regime has aligned themselves with
rogue governments: Libya, Iraq, Cuba, Nicaragua, Belarus, Syria, Zimbabwe, even
North Korea. And with the main terrorist groups: FARC in Colombia, ETA in
Spain; Hezbollah in the Middle East. The connections with these countries and
groups are very well documented.
5. Evidence
is mounting about the involvement of army generals and high level government
officers in drug trafficking. Nephews of the President have been captured in
Haiti trying to smuggle 88 kilos of cocaine into the U.S. They are in prison in
New York, awaiting trial, being defended by Squire Patton Boggs, a prominent
legal group based in Washington DC that serves the Venezuelan government.
6. You
might be thinking: why have the country and the Region allowed this tragedy to
take place? And the answer is simple and
tragic: MONEY. Chavez instituted a national policy of handouts, supported by
the huge oil income, distributing free food, free medicines, even free houses,
to his followers. He also gave abundant cash and subsidized oil to friendly
governments to keep them under his political influence. In doing this he was
helped by the historical resentment Latin American governments have had against
the U.S. Voting at the OAS is controlled
by Venezuela through the block of Caribbean countries that receive subsidized
oil.
7. What is
the role of the military? This disaster could have been averted if the military
had played its proper role as guarantor of the Constitution. What happened was the opposite. The military
became an accomplice of the regime, to the extent that Venezuela has a
predominantly military government in
which there are more than 200 active military officers holding government
positions, while Generals and lesser ranks are actively participating in drug
trafficking. This has effectively closed the door to civic rebellion, since the
armed forces have all the guns.
8. Venezuela
today is materially and spiritually bankrupt.
9. I
believe I have given you all more bad news about Venezuela that you are able to
digest. Now for the good news.
THE GOOD NEWS
10.
Last November 22, the corrupt government of the
Kirchners in Argentina ended and a democratic president will take charge. In
Cuba Raul Castro says that he is surrendering power in 2017 while Fidel is now
just a bad dream. In Brazil Lula could be going to prison and President Dilma
Roussef is close to being impeached. Rafael Correa in Ecuador has said, as
Duran said in his fight against Sugar Ray Leonard: NO MAS. Latin American dictators
and demagogues seem to be in the way out.
11.
In Venezuela the government of Nicolas Maduro,
imposed on Venezuelans by deceased dictator Hugo Chavez, seems to be under
great pressure, after the legislative elections of last Sunday. The opposition
now controls the National Assembly and has gained a 2/3 majority that will
allow it to introduce great political and economic changes. This election has
marked a radical turning point in the Venezuelan political situation and
signals the end of the Chávez era.
12.
There is a wave of liberalization in Latin
America. This means private investment will be able to return to the region and
there will be still another chance for democracy to show that it is a preferable
system to dictatorships and demagoguery.
WHAT SHOULD THE U.S. DO ABOUT VENEZUELA?
· Continue
investigating and prosecuting the members of the Venezuelan regime involved in
human rights violations and in drug trafficking
· Act
more aggressively within the OAS in order to ask for sanctions against
Venezuela for the violations to democratic procedures
· Continue
denouncing unilaterally the undemocratic nature of the Venezuelan regime
In summary, apply all possible pressure against
the abusive Venezuelan regime. This could be difficult to achieve in the short
term, as President Obama has Cuba as top priority and will not want to do
anything to jeopardize these newly found relations.
6 comentarios:
Te felicito Gustavo, tremenda gira por USA. Ahora que mencionas la tematica de las preguntas que se te hicieron en USA sobre las elecciones en Venezuela es bueno hacer salvedad de como se perdio el capital humano practicamente irreparable que tardo medio siglo en formarse. LA GENTE SE IBA A ESTUDIAR PERO VOLVIA A VENEZUELA. Ahora tu ves venezolanos trabajando en las mejores empresas del mundo, las mas grandes y mas productivas, no olvidemos que PDVSA ERA UNA EMPRESA CON CUENTAS SANEADAS Y ADMIRADA HASTA POR LAS GRANDES A NIVEL MUNDIAL, ves gerentes y tecnicos en todos lados dando conferencias y asesorando en paises como Dinamarca, Holanda, Alemania, Suecia, Noruega, Medio Oriente, USA, Canada, Francia, etc. etc. etc., y el pais hoy CON LA MAYOR INFLACION A NIVEL PLANETARIO requetejodido gracias a las politicas fracasadas de Chavez Frias y de Fidel Castro con su actual hombre en Caracas, Maduro Moros. Chavez Frias siempre estuvo arrecho porque su mama nunca lo quiso, y por esta razon se entrego a Castro, quien le quito el pais para anexarselo via de hecho a Cuba.
Heinz Azpurua le dijo a CAP: Presidente, hay una logia conspirando, esta detectada. Y vino el gocho: "A MI NO SE ME ALZA NADIE CARAJO!" . Ese fue el comienzo del fin. Tenemos las esperanza de los 112 diputados en la Asamblea, ojala AL FIN, le cumplan al pueblo que sufre.
Mr.Coronel, La claridad de las ideas y la asertividad en la comunicaci'on no dejaron espacio para tartamudeos, do not worry, well done!
Mr.Coronel, La claridad de las ideas y la asertividad en la comunicaci'on no dejaron espacio para tartamudeos, do not worry, well done!
Gustavo, excelente y clara disertación. Estamos todos muy agradecidos por tu dedicación a las mejores causas de nuestro querido país.
Buenisimo Don Gustavo.
Seguramente hubo un error de tipeo cuando quiso escribir 880 kilos de cocaina y no 88 kilos.
Pero su discurso estuvo preciso y corto (como debe ser en esos foros). Que bueno que tenemos un defensor de la verdad en foros como estos. Y Usted lo hace ad honorem, no como los chavistas que cobran por defender lo indefendible (como el malvado roy chardenton).
si. 880 kilos de cocaína. Gracias!
Gustavo
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